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WHALES

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weather-trader intelligence

Specialists we track · ≥50% weather exposure · evidence-DB snapshot

specialists0≥50% weather · ≥5 events
aggregate open$0ksum of current portfolio values
FAN cohort—none
HORIZON cohort—none

Winner archetype breakdown

Evidence-DB weather specialists · refreshed daily

Evidence DB not yet built — refresh runs daily at 04:00 UTC.

Verified weather specialists · on-chain (jbecker)

Snapshot 2026-04-22 · from jbecker 36GB dataset · arbitrage bots excluded
6 specialists · $169k combined closed PnL
BeefSlayer@BeefSlayer_
Mid-price mispricing (Pythia)
0x331bf9…193f ↗
LB PnL
+$62k
Closed
+$36k
Wx trades
10,167
Wx share
78%
Top cities
seattle · nyc · atlanta

Closest to our Pythia lane — BUY NO on mid-priced narrow buckets, ~64 trades/active-day.

Handsanitizer23
Single-city whale (Tiresias)
0x05e707…9641 ↗
LB PnL
+$74k
Closed
+$88k
Wx trades
169
Wx share
78%
Top cities
guangzhou

77% of trades in Guangzhou alone. +$88k closed from one massive NO@$0.002 bet (56,895 shares) on a point bucket priced near-certain YES.

dpnd@dpnd_poly
Mass longshot spray
0x5f211a…b376 ↗
LB PnL
+$25k
Closed
+$29k
Wx trades
432,370
Wx share
99%
Top cities
seoul · nyc · london

Mass-sprays cheap YES at $0.03 median across hundreds of global markets per day. Pure weather focus.

208208
Mid-price mispricing (Pythia)
0x1c0f3e…99d0 ↗
LB PnL
+$24k
Closed
+$11k
Wx trades
9,653
Wx share
97%
Top cities
seoul · ankara · paris

Mid-price specialist with international city focus.

RamsBR
Mid-price mispricing (Pythia)
0x6a8d17…50f9 ↗
LB PnL
+$5.1k
Closed
+$3.5k
Wx trades
31,353
Wx share
98%
Top cities
nyc · london · toronto

Highest concentration (31.5%) in the 15-30% mid-price band — pure BeefSlayer-pattern purist.

holdr
Yield farm (Sibyl)
0x095704…5db6 ↗
LB PnL
+$5.5k
Closed
+$1.6k
Wx trades
8,116
Wx share
98%
Top cities
wellington · singapore · london

Pure yield farmer. 98.5% BUY NO at $0.999, 6-min median hold. Matches Sibyl archetype.

Leaderboard illusion · DO NOT copy
gopfan2@r_gopfanLB +$344k — $344k on WEATHER leaderboard but 0% weather trades in last 73,189 pulled trades. Historical position, not a current strategy to copy.
juhyyn / DEGENKHAN / AvishaiBass — Same pattern — appear on leaderboard but 0% weather in recent history. Do NOT try to reverse-engineer.

Evidence DB not yet built — weather-trader intelligence is populated by the daily 04:00 UTC refresh.

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