00
OVERVIEW
· all generations · single screen · live00:45CEST
live
Market inspector · houston · 2026-04-28
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 28?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
92 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 92 snapshots; drift from 87.9F to 91.1F (+3.1F).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤67Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 67forbelow—0.1%—68Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 68 69f—0.1%—70Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 70 71f—0.1%—72Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 72 73f—0.1%—74Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 74 75f—0.1%—76Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 76 77f—0.1%—78Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 78 79f—0.1%—80Fyouhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 80 81f—0.1%—82Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 82 83f—0.2%—84Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 84 85f—6.0%—≥86Fhighest temperature in houston on april 28 2026 86forhigher—97.0%—