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Market inspector · atlanta · 2026-05-01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on May 1?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
94 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 94 snapshots; drift from 64.3F to 71.1F (+6.8F).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤51Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 51forbelow—0.1%—52Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 52 53f—0.1%—54Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 54 55f—0.1%—56Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 56 57f—0.1%—58Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 58 59f—0.1%—60Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 60 61f—0.4%—62Fyouhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 62 63f—0.3%—64Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 64 65f—0.5%—66Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 66 67f—3.1%—68Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 68 69f—16.5%—≥70Fhighest temperature in atlanta on may 1 2026 70forhigher—80.6%—