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Market inspector · atlanta · 2026-04-26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 26?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
54 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 54 snapshots; drift from 84.4F to 85.5F (+1.1F).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤73Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 73forbelow—0.1%—74Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 74 75f—0.5%—76Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 76 77f—0.9%—78Fyouhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 78 79f—3.0%—80Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 80 81f—30.0%—82Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 82 83f—50.0%—84Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 84 85f—17.0%—86Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 86 87f—2.3%—88Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 88 89f—0.9%—90Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 90 91f—0.5%—≥92Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 26 2026 92forhigher—0.3%—