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Market inspector · tel-aviv · 2026-04-23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or higher on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤18Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 18corbelow—0.1%—19Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 19c—0.1%—20Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 20c—0.1%—21Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 21c—0.1%—22Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 22c—0.1%—23Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 23c—0.1%—24Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 24c—49.0%—25Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 25c—49.0%—26Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 26c—5.0%—27Chighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 27c—0.2%—≥28Cyouhighest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 28corhigher—0.2%—