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Market inspector · seoul · 2026-04-23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets22same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 22 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤6Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 6corbelow—0.1%—≤13Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 13corbelow—0.1%—7Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 7c—0.1%—8Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 8c—0.6%—9Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 9c—0.3%—10Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 10c—1.0%—11Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 11c—98.7%—12Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 12c—9.0%—13Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 13c—2.6%—14Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 14c—0.7%—14Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 14c—0.1%—15Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 15c—0.4%—15Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 15c—0.1%—≥16Clowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16corhigher—0.8%—16Cyouhighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16c—0.1%—17Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 17c—0.1%—18Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c—0.1%—19Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c—0.1%—20Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 20c—0.1%—21Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 21c—0.1%—22Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c———≥23Chighest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher—0.1%—