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Market inspector · miami · 2026-04-23
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets22same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 22 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤69Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 69forbelow—0.1%—≤63Fyoulowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 63forbelow—1.0%—64Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 64 65f—0.2%—66Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 66 67f—0.5%—68Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 68 69f—18.0%—70Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 70 71f—0.1%—70Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 70 71f—66.0%—72Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 72 73f—0.5%—72Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 72 73f—14.7%—74Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 74 75f—1.4%—74Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 74 75f—0.1%—76Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 76 77f—12.0%—76Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 76 77f—0.1%—78Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f—52.0%—78Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f—0.1%—80Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 80 81f—26.0%—80Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 80 81f—0.1%—82Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 82 83f—2.1%—≥82Flowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 82forhigher—0.1%—84Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 84 85f—0.9%—86Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 86 87f—0.7%—≥88Fhighest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 88forhigher—0.5%—