00
OVERVIEW
· all generations · single screen · live01:02CEST
live
Market inspector · busan · 2026-04-27
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 27?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
87 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 87 snapshots; drift from 23.6C to 25.0C (+1.4C).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤18Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 18corbelow—0.1%—19Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 19c—0.1%—20Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 20c—0.1%—21Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 21c—0.1%—22Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 22c—0.1%—23Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 23c—0.1%—24Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 24c—99.9%—25Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 25c—0.1%—26Cyouhighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 26c—0.1%—27Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 27c—0.1%—≥28Chighest temperature in busan on april 27 2026 28corhigher—0.1%—