00
OVERVIEW
· all generations · single screen · live00:48CEST
live
Market inspector · london · 2026-04-30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on April 30?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets22same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 22 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
73 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 73 snapshots; drift from 17.5C to 18.3C (+0.8C).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤12Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 12corbelow—0.1%—≤5Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 5corbelow—0.1%—6Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 6c—1.0%—7Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 7c—0.1%—8Cyoulowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 8c—0.1%—9Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 9c—0.5%—10Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 10c—2.0%—11Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 11c—98.0%—12Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 12c———13Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 13c—0.1%—13Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 13c—0.1%—14Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 14c—0.1%—14Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 14c—0.1%—15Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 15c—0.2%—≥15Clowest temperature in london on april 30 2026 15corhigher—0.1%—16Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 16c—0.3%—17Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 17c—1.6%—18Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 18c—21.0%—19Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 19c—59.0%—20Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 20c—21.0%—21Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 21c—2.9%—≥22Chighest temperature in london on april 30 2026 22corhigher—0.9%—