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Market inspector · jeddah · 2026-04-23
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤25Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 25corbelow—0.3%—26Cyouhighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 26c—0.1%—27Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 27c—0.1%—28Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 28c—0.1%—29Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 29c—0.1%—30Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 30c—0.1%—31Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 31c—0.1%—32Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 32c—12.0%—33Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 33c—55.0%—34Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 34c—44.0%—≥35Chighest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 35corhigher—11.0%—