00
OVERVIEW
· all generations · single screen · live00:47CEST
live
Market inspector · jakarta · 2026-04-30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 30?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
67 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 67 snapshots; drift from 32.4C to 33.2C (+0.8C).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤28Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 28corbelow—0.1%—29Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 29c—0.1%—30Cyouhighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 30c—0.1%—31Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 31c—0.1%—32Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 32c—0.1%—33Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 33c—0.1%—34Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 34c———35Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 35c—0.1%—36Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 36c—0.1%—37Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 37c—0.1%—≥38Chighest temperature in jakarta on april 30 2026 38corhigher—0.1%—