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Market inspector · denver · 2026-04-23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤49Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 49forbelow—0.1%—50Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 50 51f—0.1%—52Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 52 53f—0.7%—54Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 54 55f—0.6%—56Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 56 57f—1.0%—58Fyouhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 58 59f—8.8%—60Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 60 61f—11.9%—62Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 62 63f—41.0%—64Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 64 65f—26.0%—66Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 66 67f—4.0%—≥68Fhighest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 68forhigher—3.9%—