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Market inspector · miami · 2026-04-27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets22same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 22 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
86 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 86 snapshots; drift from 86.6F to 87.2F (+0.5F).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤67Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 67forbelow—1.8%—≤75Fyouhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 75forbelow—0.1%—68Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 68 69f—3.7%—70Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 70 71f—95.0%—72Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 72 73f—0.1%—74Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 74 75f—0.1%—76Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 76 77f—0.1%—76Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 76 77f—0.1%—78Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 78 79f—0.1%—78Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 78 79f—0.5%—80Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 80 81f—0.1%—80Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 80 81f—1.2%—82Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 82 83f—0.1%—82Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 82 83f—3.0%—84Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 84 85f—22.0%—84Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 84 85f—0.1%—86Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 86 87f—60.0%—≥86Flowest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 86forhigher—0.1%—88Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 88 89f—17.0%—90Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 90 91f—4.0%—92Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 92 93f—1.0%—≥94Fhighest temperature in miami on april 27 2026 94forhigher—0.4%—