00
OVERVIEW
· all generations · single screen · live00:50CEST
live
Market inspector · chongqing · 2026-04-25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 25?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
16 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 16 snapshots; drift from 31.3C to 31.4C (+0.1C).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤25Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 25corbelow—0.1%—26Cyouhighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 26c—0.1%—27Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 27c—0.1%—28Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 28c—0.1%—29Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 29c—0.1%—30Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 30c—0.1%—31Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 31c—99.8%—32Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 32c—4.5%—33Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 33c—0.5%—34Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 34c—0.1%—≥35Chighest temperature in chongqing on april 25 2026 35corhigher—0.1%—