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Market inspector · atlanta · 2026-04-28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownF. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
93 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 93 snapshots; drift from 78.6F to 73.8F (-4.8F).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤71Fyouhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 71forbelow—8.7%—72Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 72 73f—19.8%—74Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 74 75f—36.0%—76Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 76 77f—14.0%—78Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 78 79f—15.0%—80Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 80 81f—1.3%—82Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 82 83f—0.4%—84Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 84 85f—0.2%—86Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 86 87f—0.5%—88Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 88 89f—0.5%—≥90Fhighest temperature in atlanta on april 28 2026 90forhigher—0.3%—