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Market inspector · helsinki · 2026-04-23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤3Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 3corbelow—0.2%—4Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 4c—0.3%—5Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 5c—0.5%—6Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 6c—0.3%—7Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 7c—0.8%—8Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 8c—5.0%—9Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 9c—46.0%—10Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 10c—48.0%—11Cyouhighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 11c—5.0%—12Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 12c—0.9%—≥13Chighest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 13corhigher—0.4%—