00
OVERVIEW
· all generations · single screen · live01:06CEST
live
Market inspector · taipei · 2026-04-23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 23?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
0 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleNot enough ensemble history yet for a trajectory chart (need ≥2 points).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤26Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 26corbelow—0.1%—27Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 27c—0.1%—28Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 28c—0.1%—29Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 29c—0.1%—30Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 30c—0.1%—31Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 31c—0.1%—32Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 32c—0.1%—33Cyouhighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 33c———34Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 34c—0.1%—35Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 35c—0.1%—≥36Chighest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 36corhigher—0.1%—