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Market inspector · ankara · 2026-04-27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 27?
μ blend—0 forecasts · 12h window
σ blend—combined uncertainty
source spread—disagreement σ across means
peak hour—local · ensemble timing
buckets11same-event siblings
Overlaid line plot comparing our model's blended probability density against the market's current YES-side ask per bucket. 11 buckets shown, μ_blend unknownC. Highlighted bucket marks the inspected market.
Ensemble trajectory · last 7d
87 snapshots · open_meteo_ensembleEnsemble forecast trajectory with P10–P90 band. Span 87 snapshots; drift from 18.9C to 19.3C (+0.4C).
Bucket edges · our_p − market_p
positive = we think bucket is underpriced≤13Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 13corbelow—0.1%—14Cyouhighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 14c—0.1%—15Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 15c—0.1%—16Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 16c—0.1%—17Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 17c—0.1%—18Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 18c—2.6%—19Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 19c—41.0%—20Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 20c—52.0%—21Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 21c—12.0%—22Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 22c—1.8%—≥23Chighest temperature in ankara on april 27 2026 23corhigher—1.2%—